KYOS Energy consultingKyos energy consulting

Experts in energy modeling, consulting and training!

KYOS offers specialized advise on trading and risk management in energy markets. Our expert team has years of experience in quantitative modelling and advisory services in commodity markets. Our sophisticated solutions are developed to support decision making, investment proposals and risk calculations. KYOS has a clear focus on the following areas: Products, Consulting and Training.

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Article: Gas Storage Trading

A decade of 'Rough' storage trading results

Backtest of Trading Strategies

KYOS performed a backtest to evaluate the performance of different trading strateges in the UK NBP gas market. Our results indicate that the profitability of storage trading has varied largely over time, mainly due to variations in winter-summer spreads and price volatilities.

When a trader would have relied on a pure spot trading strategy only, he would have done very well in some years, but in fact, often performed below expectation. This research discusses various explanations. However, a combination of a spot trading and a forward market hedging strategy completely changes the picture. The trader performance then matches closely with the expectation and he can be quite sure to realize both the intrinsic and the extrinsic value.

To read the complete article, click here or visit our online library www.erasmusenergy.com.